Rick Santorum must stay in the GOP race for there to be a brokered convention

After Mitt Romney won in Maryland, Wisconsin, and Washington, D.C. on Tuesday, April 3, 2012, the expected speculation began regarding the “non-Romneys” whether they will continue their quest to become president of the United States of America.  The media are spouting out report after report about how Mitt Romney is now more than half way towards the required number of delegates to become the Republican nomination.

Mitt Romney needs 498 more delegates to grasp the Republican nomination (the number the candidates are awaiting is 1,144 delegates) which is 47 percent of the remaining delegates.   According to the New Yorker, Romney will not be able to reach 1,144 delegates.

Romney currently has 504 delegates. And so, according to our model, he is projected to end the contests on June 26th with 1,122 delegates. So what does this all mean? Romney will be 22 delegates short of the 1,144 he’ll need to win the nomination.

Anyone who has ever listened to Dr. Ron Paul speak knows he will not be dropping out of the Republican race for president.  For the sake of argument, this writer will focus on Rick Santorum for the time being.

Rick Santorum has wins in Iowa, Missouri, Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, North Dakota, Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana.  He has been endorsed by Michelle Malkin and has been called one of the hardest working candidates in the race.

Rick Santorum currently has 272 delegates and would have to win almost 83 percent of the remaining delegates to capture the GOP nomination.

On April 24, when there are primaries in New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, and Pennsylvania, all eyes in the press will be on Pennsylvania.

Why?  Santorum is from Pennsylvania. Some are saying that if Santorum loses in Pennsylvania his political career is over.

So if Santorum decides to remain in the race, knowing that he can neither win nor deny Romney the nomination, we can be sure of two things. 1) He’s not trying to win and 2) He is not trying to deny Romney the nomination. Given the above numbers, the only possible reason why Santorum would stay in the race now, is not because he is determined to deny Romney the nomination, but rather to deny Romney the presidency, at all costs, including being willing to give BHO another four years.

But the really big question is, “Is Santorum willing to destroy his political future, by losing in his home state, in a vain effort to deny Romney the presidency?” Does he really hate Romney that much or is it just his ego?

Some out there believe that Mitt Romney will not be able to defeat Obama.  Many express reluctance to vote for Mitt Romney and others simply refuse to vote for Romney.  The last chance the GOP may have would be to go to a brokered convention.  For the brokered convention to be a reality, Rick Santorum must stay in the race.

 

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